"We have revised our GDP forecast up to -2.0% for 2009 (was -2.7%), and 2010 is now expected to post a 2.7% increase versus 2.3% in our previous forecast. By the end of the year, we think job losses will probably taper off and give way to some modest employment growth in the fourth quarter, allowing the unemployment rate to top out at a 12-year high of 9% this autumn..."

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