David Akin's On the Hill :: Conservative advantage evaporates

Gemini Award-winning reporter David Akin is the National Affairs Correspondent for Canwest News Service and is based at the CNS Parliamentary Bureau in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada.
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Conservative advantage evaporates

by DavidAkin on Tue 21 Feb 2006 08:48 AM EST | Permanent Link | Cosmos

(Here's a release from pollster Nik Nanos)

The recent national survey of Canadians conducted by SES Research found that the federal Liberals and Conservatives were statistically tied (Liberals 34%, Conservative 33%) on the national ballot.
NDP support is at 18% followed by the Bloc Quebecois at 9% and the Green Party at 7%.
Polling indicates that the Conservative government's honeymoon was short-lived. The Conservative six-point lead on Election Day is now a tighter race. We can expect a period of voter volatility as Canadians assess the new Harper-led federal government.
Methodology: Polling between February 4th and February 9th, 2006 (Random Telephone Survey of 1,000 eligible Canadians, MoE ± 3.1%, 19 times out of 20). Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding.

Any consequences from this drop in support? Perhaps one.

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Re: Conservative advantage evaporates

by Wilson on Tue 21 Feb 2006 02:13 PM EST | Profile | Permanent Link

Ipsos-Reid and Decima have also got polls out there (?) and may be more recent. Will you post those too?

Re: Re: Conservative advantage evaporates

by DavidAkin on Tue 21 Feb 2006 09:37 PM EST | Profile | Permanent Link

Sure. This was posted, by the way, literally within minutes after SES released it this morning. So that was a release date of Feb. 21 although the poll was in the field Feb. 4 to 9 -- and the cabinet and resulting controversy wasn't annnounced until Feb. 6.
The most recent Ipsos poll I'm aware of was released on Feb. 20 and was in the field Feb 14-16. It did not ask the same questions as the SES poll although the conclusion there was that Harper's approval rating remained high despite the cabinet controversy.
Decima's most recent poll was out Feb. 16 and shows a big gain for the NDP compared to the election results, a drop for the Liberals and about the same level of support for the Tories. It was in the field from Feb. 9-13.

Re: Re: Re: Conservative advantage evaporates

by Wilson on Tue 21 Feb 2006 11:24 PM EST | Profile | Permanent Link

Thanks Mr. Aikin. You seemed very comfy in Duffy's chair, did a good job too.