- Over the next 12 months, home prices will have bottomed, the cost of funds to financial institutions will have fallen, the worst in institutional failures will be in the rear view mirror, and the process of recapitalizing the financial system will be well underway ...
- ...but don’t expect a return to the status quo.
- Relative to the past decade, the cost of financing will remain higher and less credit will be available.
- A convincing and sustainable recovery in consumption and investment won’t materialize in the U.S. until 2010.
- The world economy will be in a mild recession in 2009 before bouncing back in 2010.
The Canadian economy will resemble the American, moving sideways on output with only a shallow recovery in late 2009.
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Who pays for this blog? I receive no fees, considerations, etc. etc. for the posts on this blog nor do I have any plans to accept any. My salary is paid by Canwest Global Communications Corp. I work for that company as the Ottawa-based National Affairs Correspondent for Canwest News Service. The blog publishing platform used here is called Blogware and it's developed by Tucows Inc. of Toronto, Ontario, Canada. My use of Blogware should not be taken as an endorsement of that company. Like all Blogware users, I do not pay any fees for the use of this service. I participate in program. Google pays me some money and, for that, I give Google some space on this site to display ads. Google sells those ads and Google, not me, decides what advertising content you are seeing. I do not filter these ads and take no responsibility for them. Readers should not assume I endorse any of the products or services advertised here. If you think other disclosures are appropriate in this space, I'd like to hear from you. All of my contact details are always at www.davidakin.com You can read more about this section |
TD's latest economic forecast
You can read all the gory details for yourself but here are the highlights from Don Drummond and the gang of economists at TD Bank:
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